| Course | GF510 Risk Analysis and Management |
|---|---|
| Unit | Unit 2 |
| Paper type | Risk identification memo |
| Length | About 940 words, 6 pages double-spaced |
| Format | APA 7 student paper |
| School | Purdue University Global |
| Program | MS in Finance |
| Updated | October 2026 |
Free sample paper for GF510 Unit 2
Nine Ways a Pool Season Can Fail: A Unit 2 Risk Identification Memo for a Fiberglass Pool Maker
[Student Name]
Purdue University Global
GF510: Risk Analysis and Management
Unit 2 Risk Identification Memo
[Instructor Name]
[Date]
Ledgerwood Pools, its plants, dealers and every figure are composite; the regulations, framework and article cited are real.
Memorandum
To: Chief Financial Officer, Ledgerwood Pools From: Risk Analyst, Finance Date: September 15, 2025 Re: Exposures identified for the first enterprise risk register
Summary
Ledgerwood earns about $240 million a year selling roughly 9,500 pool shells through some 420 independent dealer-installers, from plants in Georgia, Texas and Indiana. I have identified nine exposures that could materially affect cash or earnings: resin supplier concentration, resin price swings, demand sensitivity to borrowing rates, a serious crash during oversize transport, dealer credit losses, a plant fire, styrene compliance, a warranty claims spike and ransomware on production systems. They are set out below in a fixed form so the next unit can rate them on one scale.
How Each Exposure Is Written
Each entry follows the form enterprise risk guidance recommends, in which a stated cause gives rise to a possible event that carries a consequence for the firm's objectives (Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission [COSO], 2017). Writing exposures this way prevents vague headings such as "supply chain" and points directly to what could be measured or controlled.
Financial Exposures
E1. Resin price swings. Because polyester and vinyl ester resin make up most of the shells' material cost and are priced off petrochemical inputs, a sharp rise in resin prices could raise annual costs by several million dollars before price increases reach dealers. *Evidence:* the case's cost breakdown, which shows resin and glass fiber at 32 percent of cost of goods sold, and last year's two mid-season supplier price notices.
E2. Dealer credit losses. Because dealers buy on net sixty-day terms and many are small builders with thin capital, a dealer's failure could leave Ledgerwood with an unpaid receivable and no claim on the installed pools. *Evidence:* the aging report, where balances over ninety days have doubled in a year, and the largest dealer's 6 percent share of sales.
Operational Exposures
E3. Resin supplier concentration. Because one supplier provides about 70 percent of Ledgerwood's resin, an outage at that supplier's plant could halt two of three production lines for up to a month in peak season. *Evidence:* the purchasing summary and the absence of any qualified second source for vinyl ester resin.
E4. A serious crash during oversize transport. Because shells up to sixteen feet wide travel on company trucks under oversize permits, a crash involving another vehicle could cause serious injury, a liability claim above the insurance retention and the loss of a driver and trailer during the busiest months. *Evidence:* the fleet report's two preventable accidents last year and the $1 million self-insured retention on auto liability.
E5. A plant fire. Because resin, catalyst and styrene are flammable and stored in bulk, a fire at the Texas plant, the largest of the three, could stop a third of production for months. *Evidence:* the insurer's last inspection letter, which recommended improved separation of resin storage.
E6. Ransomware on production systems. Because order entry, molding schedules and shipping all run on one ERP system, an attack that encrypts it during spring could stop shipments for a week or more. *Evidence:* the IT summary, which shows backups kept on the same network as the system they protect.
Three of the nine exposures, resin supply, transport and ransomware, would do most of their damage in the same four spring months, so their consequences depend less on how likely each is than on whether they strike while dealers are waiting for shells.
Strategic Exposure
E7. Demand sensitivity to borrowing rates. Because most homeowners pay for a pool with a home equity line or a dedicated pool loan, a rise in borrowing rates could cut orders by a quarter or more within a season. *Evidence:* the sales history, which shows orders falling 18 percent in 2023 after rates rose through 2022.
Compliance Exposures
E8. Styrene emissions and worker exposure. Because the open-mold process releases styrene, a failure to meet the federal air rule for reinforced plastic composites (National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Reinforced Plastic Composites Production, 40 C.F.R. pt. 63, subpt. WWWW, 2024) or the workplace exposure limit could bring fines, a mandated process change or claims from employees. *Evidence:* the Indiana plant's last two air monitoring reports, which came within 10 percent of the permit limit.
E9. A warranty claims spike. Because shells carry a lifetime structural warranty and a gelcoat warranty of several years, a defective resin or gelcoat batch could produce blistering claims across hundreds of pools. *Evidence:* the warranty log, where claims from one 2024 production month run triple the usual rate.
Considered and Excluded
Laminator turnover, hurricane interruptions to installation in Gulf markets and the floating rate on the term loan were considered. Each is real, but none on its own is likely to cost more than about 3 percent of annual operating income. I recommend recording them in the register as watch items rather than rating them as principal exposures. Frameworks that ask firms to name exposures before rating them make the exclusion list part of the record, so later reviews can see what was weighed (Hopkin, 2018).
Next Step
With the CFO's agreement, Unit 3 will define likelihood and impact scales tied to Ledgerwood's operating income and rate all twelve items, the nine exposures and the three watch items, on that scale.
References
Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. (2017). Enterprise risk management: Integrating with strategy and performance. COSO.
Hopkin, P. (2018). Fundamentals of risk management: Understanding, evaluating and implementing effective risk management (5th ed.). Kogan Page.
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Reinforced Plastic Composites Production, 40 C.F.R. pt. 63, subpt. WWWW (2024).
GF510 Unit 2 instructions, in plain terms
In the second GF510 unit you identify the exposures that will populate a risk register, without rating them yet. Address the memo to a named decision maker and summarize all exposures in the first paragraph. Write every exposure in the same form: a cause, an event it could trigger and a consequence for cash, earnings or objectives. Group them by type, such as financial, operational, strategic and compliance, so the reader sees the spread. For each one, point to the evidence in the case that revealed it, whether a cost breakdown, an aging report, an inspection letter or a monitoring result. Record what you considered and excluded, with a reason, because the exclusions become part of the record. Close with the next step toward rating. Cite an enterprise risk framework and any regulation you invoke in APA 7, and keep to memo format.
Inside the GF510 Unit 2 example
A heading block and a summary listing all nine exposures open the memo. A short section explains the cause, event and consequence form with a citation to COSO. Two financial entries follow, resin prices and dealer credit, each with an evidence line naming the cost breakdown or the aging report. Four operational entries cover resin supplier concentration, a crash with a sixteen-foot shell on the road, a plant fire and ransomware, and the highlighted sentence notes that three of them would strike hardest in the same spring months. The strategic entry ties demand to home equity rates, using the 18 percent order fall of 2023. Compliance entries cite the federal air rule for reinforced plastic composites and the warranty log. The memo records laminator turnover, hurricanes and the floating loan rate as watch items, citing Hopkin on keeping exclusions visible, and ends by proposing scales for Unit 3.
GF510 Unit 2 rubric: what earns full points
The memo earns most of its points for complete, specific identification. Graders check that each exposure names a cause, an event and a consequence, and that the set covers more than one type of risk. Evidence lines matter in GF510 because they show the exposures come from the case rather than from a generic list; an exposure with no evidence is often marked as speculative. Grouping by category and summarizing at the top earn credit for organization. A section on what was excluded, with reasons, is valued because it lets a reviewer see judgment at work. Rating the exposures prematurely can lose points, since scales come in the following unit. Professional memo format, accurate regulatory citations and clean APA 7 references round out the scoring.
GF510 Unit 2 help from the desk
The usual weakness in GF510 Unit 2 memos is a list of headings, such as "market risk" or "IT risk," with no cause or consequence. Some writers produce twenty thin exposures rather than nine supported ones. Evidence is often missing, so the grader cannot tell whether an exposure came from the case. Others mix ratings into the identification, guessing at likelihood before any scale exists. Exclusions are rarely recorded. Memos also bury the summary at the end. For a hospital, a retailer or a municipal utility, the same approach works: write each exposure in one cause-event-consequence sentence, group by type, tie each to something in the case, and list what you left out and why.
Get a GF510 Unit 2 example written to your instructions
Upload the GF510 Unit 2 case, the prompt and your rubric, and a custom memo follows that identifies the exposures that case supports, each set out as cause, event and consequence, with evidence cited and exclusions explained. Your first sample carries no charge, and 24-48h is the usual turnaround. The paper above is an original model document written by our desk, not a submitted student paper and not an official Purdue University Global document.
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GF510 Unit 2 questions, answered
What is the cause, event, consequence format?
It is a sentence pattern that forces each exposure to name what could trigger it, what would happen, and what that would cost. It comes from bow-tie analysis, which places the event at the center with causes on one side and consequences on the other. Many risk frameworks use it because it makes exposures specific enough to measure later.
Should I rate the exposures in this memo?
Usually not yet. Most sections introduce likelihood and impact scales in the following unit, and ratings given before scales are defined tend to draw comments. The sample leaves ratings out and closes with a hypothesis about which exposures will rank highest, which sets up the measurement work without getting ahead of it.
Where can I find a free GF510 Unit 2 sample paper?
You can read a full GF510 Unit 2 risk identification memo for a composite fiberglass pool maker on this page, with nine exposures in cause-event-consequence form, evidence lines and APA 7 references.
Why does the memo group three exposures by season?
Resin supply, transport and ransomware would all do most of their damage between March and July, when dealers are waiting for shells. Their consequences depend heavily on timing, which a later report uses to rank them.
What are watch items?
Exposures that are real but small, here laminator turnover, hurricane delays and the floating loan rate, each costing under about 3 percent of operating income. They stay in the register without being rated as principal exposures.